Written by: WillyDWaffle
Three weeks ago, we had the glorified exhibition between Floyd Mayweather and Conor McGregor which had no significance what so ever. It was a spectacle that made alot of money and entertained casuals. Now it’s time for the main course, the fight all fight fans have been asking for the last two years. Unlike the Mayweather-McGregor fight, there’s no need for the insults and trash talking to hype this fight up. The fan friendly style of both fighters is what sells this fight. The defintion of “supremacy” is, the state or condition being superior to all others in authority, power, or status. That what sums of the middleweight clash between Canelo Alvarez and Gennady Golovkin. Even though I believe Andre Ward is pound for pound the best boxer regardless of the outcome, the winner of this fight is without a doubt, the face of boxing.
Back in March, Golovkin fought WBA titlist Danny Jacobs who surprisingly took him to the distance. It wasn’t the best performance from Golovkin but he got the job done. Outside of Jacobs, Golovkin resume has very few big names. The narrative for the last few years is that Golovkin has been the most avoided fighter in boxing. There may be some truth to it but the middleweight division overall, doesn’t have the deepest pool of talent. Alvarez hands down, is the best fighter Golovkin has ever fought. It’s evident that Golovkin needs this win more than Alvarez. Golovkin is making his nineteenth title defense and a win here would set him up to tie with the great Bernard Hopkins for 20 consecutive title defenses at middleweight. A career defining win is necessary for his legacy, this win here puts him clearly makes him a hall of famer.
At the age of 27, Alvarez has accomplished alot in the sport of boxing. Fighting at the on a big stage and winning titles is nothing new to him. He’s been in the ring with many notable names and even future hall of famers so, it’s not a question of who’s fought better competition between him and Golovkin. This fight against Golovkin is a different test. Golovkin isn’t Julio Cesar Chavez Jr, who fought Alvarez back in May and showed up just to collect a check. Alvarez is fighting a bigger man who not has power but, can cut off the ring, attack the body and more importantly jab. Since, Ray Leonard defeated Marvin Hagler for the lineal middleweight title in 1987, only Miguel Cotto and Sergio Martinez have come from welterweight to beat the “linear middleweight” champion. Alvarez can join elite company if he can dethrone Golovkin. Alvarez already has become a household name in the sport of boxing but, a win would fill the void of a superstar that, boxing has needed with Mayweather and Pacquaio on their way out of the sport.
To pick a winner in this fight is tough. Alvarez has impressed me with the development of his defense since his lost against Mayweather. He parrys, has upper body movement and hasn’t taken alot of punishment throughout his career. If I’m not mistaken, he hasn’t been wobbled since he fought Jose Cotto seven years ago at welterweight. The counter punching of Alvarez is something he’s improved and makes him more dangerous. Golovkin’s defense is looked to be not that all that great of by the looks of his most recent fights. Alvarez has the hand speed which will allow to land first and throw combinations. Another underated arsenal of Alvarez is his body attack. Not too many people have seen Golovkin get touched to the body yet, it’s intriguing what will transpire if Alvarez get’s to it.
What really concerns me in this fight for Alvarez, is not how he will deal with the power of Golovkin but his jab and reach. Golovkin’s jab has shown it’s presence in his fights with David Lemiuex and Danny Jacobs where he negated both of their offensive outputs. I believe Golovkin plan going into the fight is to throw the jab, which can defintely take away the counter punching and the uppercut Alvarez likes to throw. Also, Alvarez is someone who’s not known for his gas tank, working the body of will absoultely help him in the later rounds. Part of me see Alvarez keeping the fight in the middle of the ring, pivoting and staying busy enough to outwork Golovkin in a close fight. Golovkin wants a fight that’s “mexican style” and there’s a chance Alvarez will give him that benefiting Golovkin.
An interesting topic that comes up as I speak with fight fans is, can Golovkin win by decision? As much as I hate to bring this up, it’s realistic in the sport of boxing which is filled with politics. Alvarez has had some fights were the scorecards were questioned. Three notable fights in Vegas where a judge or judges scorecard comes into question. Judge C.J. Ross who did his best Ray Charles impression, scored the Mayweather-Alvarez fight 114-114. Mayweather still won the fight but, there was no way in hell no one could score that fight a draw for Alvarez let alone give him four rounds the most. Alvarez also got a split decision over Erislandy Lara in 2014. In a close and hard fight to score, Levi Martinez had it 117-111. Last and probably the most controversial Alvarez fight with Miguel Cotto in 2015. Judge Burt Clements had it 119-109 and judge Dave Moretti 118-110. Anyone who has watched any of these fight can tell you, all those scorecards are wrong! Since we’re on the topic of judges, it’s been confirmed Dave Moretti will be one of the three judges for this fight. Golovkin is in a fight where he must win by knockout because his chances of winning by decision are slim to none. With Kenny Bayless being the referee I expect this to be a fair officiated fight from one of the best in the business. In the end, I’m picking Gennady Golovkin to retain his IBF, WBC and WBA title by stopping Canelo Alvarez late in the fight.